Odds On Boris Johnson Surviving 2022 As PM Evaporate

Boris Johnson in 2020 – Image source: Flickr

Online bookies in the UK are now offering just 8/11 odds on Boris Johnson losing his job next year. This isn’t a massive surprise. His government has stumbled from corruption and disastrous incompetence to an outrageous level of conceited hubris. The public are losing faith. Just ask voters in North Shropshire. That means the Tories will start looking for a new leader, and if you like to bet on politics in the UK at sites like Bet365 now’s the time to choose your favorite. 

These days, there seem precious few hard and fast rules of politics. Indeed, it appears many of our politicians are just making it up as they go along. However, if one were to write a list, perhaps the top entry, at least in the UK, would cite not losing safe seats you’ve held for 200 years. When the Conservatives lost the North Shropshire by-election they saw a 34% swing against them. That’s why the odds on Boris Johnson are now so bad. He can’t lie his way out.

Which, frankly, is his go-to tactic when caught in a tricky circumstance. Someone dodgy donated lots of money to have your home redecorated? Your ministers are taking bribes from the companies they’re supposed to regulate? You’ve given millions in contracts to your business chums? Never mind, just lie about it. Unfortunately, as the odds on Boris Johnson now indicate at online betting sites in the UK like Bet365, you can’t lie about losing a safe-seat by-election. 

Boris Denies The Evidence Before People’s Eyes 

Not that he won’t try. Boris has yet to grasp there are somethings about which one can’t tell mistruths. He can pretend he takes his wife to business meetings and they always serve wine and cheese, but we don’t believe him. Not anymore. Voters in the UK are beginning to see through the populist veneer to the elitist Etonian snobs beneath. As usual, for a Conservatives, the odds on Boris Johnson realizing himself before it’s too late are so terribly long they’d poke your eye out.

Odds On Boris Johnson Exiting No.10

• 2021 – 20/1
• 2022 – 8/11
• 2023 – 5/1
• 2024+ – 7/4 

Just how incompetent do you have to be to not only break the rules, but to then keep photos of it? There are hub-cap thieves who know better. Such is the astonishing hubris of the Conservatives. They simply don’t believe anyone might even attempt to use the same rules for them as for the rest of us. So if you think the odds on Boris Johnson leaving next year seem a tad harsh, think again. Bet365 and the rest of the online sportsbook sites in the UK offering prices know better.

Bet365 Has All The Odds On Boris Johnson

They know it’s only a matter of time now before Boris has to go “for the good of the party”. The only problem there is that most of them bet on Boris Johnson carrying the can. But the can is still filling up. So, whilst you can bet on Rishi Sunak, and indeed bet on Liz Truss, to talk big they’re neither of them making a move. Not yet. They’ve seen the odds on Boris Johnson but will want them to get lots worse. They need the public think the very worst of the PM before they take over.

Bet On The Next Conservative Party Leader

• Sajid Javid – 16/1
• Jeremy Hunt – 9/1
• Michael Gove – 6/1
• Liz Truss – 9/2
• Rishi Sunak – 2/1

Lord Frost resigning means Liz Truss is off to become Brexit minister. Which frankly explains why the odds on the next Conservative Party leader show her moving out a touch. That’s a poisoned chalice and the odds on Boris Johnson knowing it are sub-zero. He’s just trying to make things as difficult as possible. He’s spent a political career in the UK gambling laws don’t apply to him. Now he seems to think he can cling on to power despite all the laws of probability too.

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We take a look at how the odds on Boris Johnson have slumped following the Conservatives massive loss in North Shropshire.