NFL Betting Myths Demystified: Part 2

GamingZion presents the betting myths that are main reasons for the unsuccessful results of the bettors on the NFL matches.

The NFL matches are attracting more and more bettors not only in the US but all over the globe, gambling news report. However, the success of the average NFL bettor in predicting the outcomes of the matches in the League is far from satisfying. With every season the loss of the bettors that place their wagers on the matches in the NFL is increasing.

• Fancy label names don’t justify bets
• Never look at media experts predictions
• Trust only the modest touts

In a previous article GamingZion started to elaborate the reasons behind this betting fiasco. We have already pointed out to two of the most common myths that deceive bettors in making an objective prediction. In this article we continue with two more betting myths related to the NFL that will help you avoid some of the mistakes that bettors usually do.

The Media “Experts” betting myth

When bettors are asked to justify their decision about a bet they will usually use some fancy words describing the performances of a team or a player that seem to be superior than those possessed by the opposite team. But how many of them really know what “West Coast offense” is? Or “zone blitz” or “dime” defense? The so called “experts” in the media can easily define these terms produced by them. They have all the data necessary for that: player’s statistics, videos from their performances, special moves etc. They can even explain accurately all the strategies of the teams, give a clear representation of the vision of a coach and so on. But there is a big discrepancy between describing a match and predicting a match. And media experts are known to be anything but successful bettors.

The statistics from the past years show that none of the New York Post writers on NFL matches for instance, have regularly picked the 52.4 % that are necessary for someone to beat the 11-to-10 odds that bettors must give. As online sportsbooks in the US state, the situation is not different with the WFAN commentators that make predictions every Friday and it is even worst with the ESPN commentator Hank Goldberg who has beaten the 11-to-10 odds only once in seven years. What this analysis show is that the fancy labeling names that journalists use are just a nice description of actions during a global entertainment program. Nothing more. They won’t help you justifying your bet in any case. And even more, it is highly recommended to avoid media predictions.

The “touts”: just another betting myth of today

The betting on the NFL matches is increasing from year to year. But so is the number of touts and the touts business has soon established itself as one of the most profitable aspects of the betting industry. The touts are people who are paid because of giving assistance to a bettor in placing a wager on a NFL match. There are some assistances of this kind that can be called successful. However the majority of them is far from successful achievements. But how to distinguish them? The first indicator for self-protection is to set aside those who promise a win of 75 or more percent against the point spread. Why? Simply because anyone that rationally expects an 75 % win of his, for instance, 100 bets can easily make for him a transformation of USD 100 into USD 1 billion.

What is a more objective percentage for a skilled tout to promise is, according to online gambling news in the US, a range between 55-60% on a long term betting. The best score of a tout known in the betting circles when NFL is concerned is 60% in several seasons period. But these touts are seldom. There are even touts that advertise the so called “lock games” which means games that can’t lose. But how can there be such a game at all is an absurdity that does not deserve a commentary. If you are still considering the option to pay a tout for your NFL betting then chose only those that make realistic promises about the possible win and whose results on a long term are in the percentage range of 55-60 %.Going for the “high percentage” touts will not bring you anything else except an empty pocket.