Brett Kavanaugh Confirmation Odds: Will the Sexual Allegations Impact Senators’ Votes?

According to online sportsbook news in the United States, President Donald Trump nominated Judge Brett Kavanaugh to replace the retiring Justice Anthony Kennedy on the US Supreme Court. Kavanaugh seemed likely to have the full support of the Senate’s Republican majority, until two women came forward to publicly accuse him of two separate incidents of sexual assault. He has denied the allegations. The odds on Brett Kavanaugh to be confirmed as Supreme Court judge rely on whether he will win all Republicans’ votes in the Senate or not.

Republicans Need Minimum 50 Votes

Republicans and Democrats currently hold on the Senate by 51-49. Minimum 50 votes are needed to create the scenario in which Vice President Mike Pence could cast the deciding vote as the tiebreaker for Kavanaugh to get on the Supreme Court. Which means Republicans cannot afford to lose any vote.

Yet the Democrats are pushing hard to block Kavanaugh’s nomination, as they disagree with his views on issues including gun and abortion rights, and now multiple sexual misconduct and allegations. First allegation emerged against the Supreme Court nominee when he was in high school and the other when he was a freshman at Yale University.

Allegations against Kavanaugh

“This is a smear, plain and simple.“

According to online sportsbook news in the United States, the first allegation against Kavanaugh came out as a secret letter. Soon after, the woman Chrsitine Blasey, 51, spoke out to the Washinton Post, accusing the teenaged Kavanaugh, of forcing himself on her at a high school party in the early 1980s suburban Maryland. She revealed to the Post that when the incident happened she was around 15 years old.

The other allegation was published by The New Yorker on a woman called Deborah Ramirez, who is fifty-three. She attended Yale with Kavanaugh, when he exposed himself to her at a drunken dormitory party in 1983-1984. Kavanaugh denied the two allegations, calling them as “smear, plain and simple.” Although Kavanaugh’s odds suggest he will be confirmed as US Supreme Court judge,  those allegations could impact senators’ votes (2.20).

The Forrest Gump of Republican Politics

Democrats call Brett Kavanaguh as the Forrest Gump of Republican politics, as he has been present at so many dramatic events throughout his career. In 1990s he served as a law clerk to Justice Anthony M. Kennedy, who he would be replacing if the Senate confirms him. He was a member of lawyers for Bush-Cheney during the 2000 election, and he served as a White House counsel to Bush and then staff secretary until 2006.

Kavanuagh the current D.C Circuit judge is the ultimate Washington insider with a long history in conservative circles. If he fails to get the confirmation, it will be a slap in the face of President Trump, not just by the Democrats, but also by his Republican friends, who are losing confidence in his recent picks.