Don’t Bet On Joe Biden Winning The 2020 Election Just Yet

Image source: Gage Skidmore from Peoria, AZ, United States of America / CC BY-SA via Wikimedia Commons

On paper, a bet on Joe Biden winning the 2020 election looks massively attractive. The world has beset the incumbent administration with crisis after crisis. However, before you rush off to take advantage of US gambling laws at Bovada and other online bookies, have care. Biden can’t rely on the political certainties that would once have seen him swept to power on a landslide. This isn’t going to be a ho-hum election. Right now a bet on politics in the US is just a tad cavalier.

Once the Democrats chanted “Yes We Can!” Unfortunately, Joe Biden probably can’t. This is not, however, his fault. Just as the current administration is held hostage by circumstance, so too are the opponents to it. Any other election he’d be a shoo-in, but a bet on Joe Biden winning the 2020 election isn’t a sure thing. It is not just that people can’t predict the result, the odds on the US election are close, but that it’s impossible to tell what will happen. Not in general terms. Specifically.

Donald Trump refuses to commit to a peaceful transition of power if he loses. That’s so crazy it’s not a position any candidate has had to try and counter before. How could you? Remind people Democracy exists? Typically this would give Donald Trump the political lifespan of a snowball in hell. In today’s America, it means you can’t bet on Joe Biden winning the 2020 election. Forget what the odds on US politics say at online sportsbooks sites in the US like Bovada. They may not matter. 

Supreme Court Will Rule On Contested Election

The idea a President may just ignore the results of an election is unfathomable. Not that he will, he’ll acknowledge them, claim they’re fraudulent, and contest the result. Usually, because he’d be unable to prove all those mail-in ballots are fakes, he’d just lose later on. Unfortunately, that would require a fair unbiased legal process to be in place. The main reason you shouldn’t bet on Joe Biden winning the 2020 election is because there isn’t one. Not anymore. Not in America.

Alas, the Supreme Court arbitrates contested elections. So, the breakneck speed with which the Republicans are moving to replace Ruth Bader Ginsberg shouldn’t surprise anyone. They fully expect a Republican-dominated court to side with them. They make no pretense otherwise. Given Trump will contest the results regardless, he’ll probably win. The odds on Donald Trump at online betting sites in the US may lag behind those for a bet on Joe Biden winning the 2020 election, but those are based on reality, and we’re through the looking glass.

Bet On Joe Biden Winning The 2020 Election At Bovada Today

So, then the Democrats face a near-impossible task. The odds on Joe Biden remain good at about 5/6. Unfortunately, that doesn’t make a bet on Joe Biden winning the 2020 election a good idea. It should, but Donald Trump still gets around Evens despite all that’s happened. Even the bookies like Bovada aren’t sure he will accept defeat. That’s appalling. Of course, it does mean a bet on Donald Trump to win the 2020 election is probably a wise move. Just in case this isn’t all just alarmism.

US Election Odds

• Joe Biden – 5/6
• Donald Trump – Evens

It may well be. However, this year you can’t be sure. This year no one is sure of anything. The old rules no longer seem to apply, and the new rules don’t seem to make sense. So a bet on the US election is now far more unpredictable than any bet on sports in the US. Whether you bet on the Democrats losing or bet on the Republicans winning, it won’t matter now. This one will go all the way to the bitter end, and for the American electorate used to quiet speeches of congratulation, this could be a very rude awakening.  

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We take a look at why a bet on Joe Biden winning the 2020 election could be a bit of an own goal now.